Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000113 0.000124 0.000136 0.000150 0.000166 0.000183 0.000202
2026-01-25 0.000089 0.000106 0.000125 0.000148 0.000176 0.000209 0.000251
2026-02-01 0.000076 0.000095 0.000118 0.000148 0.000187 0.000235 0.000301
2026-02-08 0.000066 0.000085 0.000111 0.000145 0.000192 0.000254 0.000343
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000077 0.000104 0.000142 0.000196 0.000270 0.000381
2026-02-22 0.000053 0.000073 0.000101 0.000143 0.000205 0.000293 0.000432
2026-03-01 0.000049 0.000070 0.000100 0.000146 0.000216 0.000320 0.000490
2026-03-08 0.000044 0.000065 0.000095 0.000142 0.000217 0.000332 0.000526
2026-03-15 0.000040 0.000060 0.000089 0.000138 0.000215 0.000339 0.000556
2026-03-22 0.000037 0.000057 0.000088 0.000139 0.000223 0.000362 0.000613
2026-03-29 0.000035 0.000055 0.000087 0.000140 0.000232 0.000386 0.000675
2026-04-05 0.000033 0.000052 0.000084 0.000138 0.000234 0.000400 0.000720
2026-04-12 0.000031 0.000050 0.000082 0.000139 0.000241 0.000424 0.000788
2026-04-19 0.000029 0.000048 0.000079 0.000137 0.000243 0.000439 0.000843
2026-04-26 0.000027 0.000046 0.000077 0.000137 0.000249 0.000462 0.000915
2026-05-03 0.000025 0.000043 0.000074 0.000134 0.000251 0.000477 0.000972
2026-05-10 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000131 0.000251 0.000487 0.001022
2026-05-17 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000132 0.000259 0.000516 0.001114
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000039 0.000070 0.000135 0.000269 0.000551 0.001226
2026-05-31 0.000020 0.000037 0.000067 0.000132 0.000268 0.000560 0.001279
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000127 0.000264 0.000563 0.001316
2026-06-14 0.000018 0.000033 0.000064 0.000128 0.000272 0.000593 0.001426
2026-06-21 0.000017 0.000033 0.000063 0.000130 0.000280 0.000626 0.001547